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Prediction Markets Quant

by predictionmarketspicks.com · remote · no sign-in to list tools · v1.28.0 · published by com.predictionmarketspicks

Free, no key: NFL + NBA prop boards, NHL model, Kalshi vs Polymarket gaps, Fed odds, EV/Kelly.

Changes · 39Changed
CompareRegistry entry

45 tools: 39 change things and 6 only read.

Scanned Oct 22, 2026 · tools changed Oct 22, 2026

3 checks matched something in the tool definitions. No finding is not a safety guarantee. How the checks work.

claude mcp add --transport http quant https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp/mcp?via=registry

Findings

Matches of fixed checks, with the text they matched.

3 warn
  • Warnbayes_update

    The server marks "bayes_update" read-only (readOnlyHint: true), and its own name, description or input give the class "write".

    Matched text

    annotations: {"readOnlyHint":true,"destructiveHint":false,"openWorldHint":false}; The name "bayes_update" says "update": a word for a change.

    What this check looks for
  • Warnconvert_probability

    The server marks "convert_probability" read-only (readOnlyHint: true), and its own name, description or input give the class "write".

    Matched text

    annotations: {"readOnlyHint":true,"destructiveHint":false,"openWorldHint":false}; The name "convert_probability" says "convert": a word for a change.

    What this check looks for
  • Warnstart_sit

    The server marks "start_sit" read-only (readOnlyHint: true), and its own name, description or input give the class "write".

    Matched text

    annotations: {"readOnlyHint":true,"destructiveHint":false,"openWorldHint":true}; The name "start_sit" says "start": a word for a change.

    What this check looks for

Tools

Open a tool for its reasons and full description. Descriptions are the publisher's own words, shown as they are.

45 tools

Changes things 39Claude Code: ask
  • adp_market_gapsIn season: Kalshi vs book-consensus gaps on this week's NFL props, widest first, filter by position.No findings

    Why it is in this group

    • Nothing in its name or description says what it does, so it is counted as a write.
    • The server marks it read-only (readOnlyHint: true), but an annotation never lowers a class.
    Description, as the server wrote it
    In season: Kalshi vs book-consensus gaps on this week's NFL props, widest first, filter by position. Free. (ADP gaps return in the 2027 offseason.)

    Annotations the server declares

    • readOnlyHint: true
    • destructiveHint: false
    • openWorldHint: false
    • title: Kalshi vs Book-Consensus Gaps — this week's NFL props
  • base_rate_gapUse for "how does this price compare to history" and "is the market ignoring the base rate".No findings

    Why it is in this group

    • Nothing in its name or description says what it does, so it is counted as a write.
    • The server marks it read-only (readOnlyHint: true), but an annotation never lowers a class.
    Description, as the server wrote it
    Use for "how does this price compare to history" and "is the market ignoring the base rate". Compares a market price with the historical base rate for a class of events: the gap in pp, a signal, and sample-size quality. Pass a known baseRateId (the parameter lists them) or your own baseRateValue.

    Annotations the server declares

    • readOnlyHint: true
    • destructiveHint: false
    • openWorldHint: false
    • title: Base Rate Gap
  • bayes_updateUpdate a prior probability with one or more pieces of evidence using Bayes theorem.1 finding

    Why it is in this group

    • The name "bayes_update" says "update": a word for a change.
    • The server marks it read-only (readOnlyHint: true), but an annotation never lowers a class.

    Findings

    • Warn

      The server marks "bayes_update" read-only (readOnlyHint: true), and its own name, description or input give the class "write".

      Matched text

      annotations: {"readOnlyHint":true,"destructiveHint":false,"openWorldHint":false}; The name "bayes_update" says "update": a word for a change.

      What this check looks for
    Description, as the server wrote it
    Update a prior probability with one or more pieces of evidence using Bayes theorem. Given a prior and a list of evidence items (each with P(evidence | true) and P(evidence | false)), returns the posterior probability and the per-step chain. Use for "update my estimate with new information", "posterior probability", "how does this news change the odds".

    Annotations the server declares

    • readOnlyHint: true
    • destructiveHint: false
    • openWorldHint: false
    • title: Bayesian Probability Update
  • best_availableIn season: where the best available PRICE is on this week's NFL props — strikes where Kalshi and the book consensus are 5¢+ apart.No findings

    Why it is in this group

    • Nothing in its name or description says what it does, so it is counted as a write.
    • The server marks it read-only (readOnlyHint: true), but an annotation never lowers a class.
    Description, as the server wrote it
    In season: where the best available PRICE is on this week's NFL props — strikes where Kalshi and the book consensus are 5¢+ apart. Free.

    Annotations the server declares

    • readOnlyHint: true
    • destructiveHint: false
    • openWorldHint: false
    • title: Best Available Price — this week's NFL props
  • best_priceUse for "where is it cheapest to buy", "Kalshi or Polymarket US for the Bears game" and "cheapest venue for the Georgia Senate race".Reads text others writeNo findings

    Why it is in this group

    • Nothing in its name or description says what it does, so it is counted as a write.
    • The server marks it read-only (readOnlyHint: true), but an annotation never lowers a class.

    What it can reach

    • untrusted-inputThe server marks it openWorldHint: true: it reaches things outside the server's own data.
    Description, as the server wrote it
    Use for "where is it cheapest to buy", "Kalshi or Polymarket US for the Bears game" and "cheapest venue for the Georgia Senate race". The same contract on Kalshi, Polymarket US and Novig as the cost to buy one contract including each venue's taker fee, with the cheapest named. Sports games (team, league or matchup), 2026 midterm races (state, slug or district) or the next FOMC meeting. Ranked by price only.

    Annotations the server declares

    • readOnlyHint: true
    • destructiveHint: false
    • openWorldHint: true
    • title: Best Price After Fees — Kalshi vs Polymarket US vs Novig
  • calculate_evUse for "is this contract mispriced" and "what is my edge".No findings

    Why it is in this group

    • Nothing in its name or description says what it does, so it is counted as a write.
    • The server marks it read-only (readOnlyHint: true), but an annotation never lowers a class.
    Description, as the server wrote it
    Use for "is this contract mispriced" and "what is my edge". Give a Kalshi or Polymarket price in cents and your own probability; returns the % expected-value edge and a BUY / SELL / SKIP read.

    Annotations the server declares

    • readOnlyHint: true
    • destructiveHint: false
    • openWorldHint: false
    • title: Calculate EV Edge
  • combo_edgeUse for "price a same-game NFL combo" and "is this combo worth it".No findings

    Why it is in this group

    • Nothing in its name or description says what it does, so it is counted as a write.
    • The server marks it read-only (readOnlyHint: true), but an annotation never lowers a class.
    Description, as the server wrote it
    Use for "price a same-game NFL combo" and "is this combo worth it". Pass nflGame ("NYG-LAR", "Giants vs Rams") to list that game's Kalshi legs — moneyline, spreads, totals, player props — then legIds to price your pick with the correlation done for you. Or pass legPrices + trueWinProbability for a fair band; add offeredOdds for EV and a verdict. Free.

    Annotations the server declares

    • readOnlyHint: true
    • destructiveHint: false
    • openWorldHint: false
    • title: Combo Edge Verdict
  • commodity_edgeUse for "gold edge today" and "oil or bitcoin trade signal".Reads text others writeNo findings

    Why it is in this group

    • Nothing in its name or description says what it does, so it is counted as a write.
    • The server marks it read-only (readOnlyHint: true), but an annotation never lowers a class.

    What it can reach

    • untrusted-inputThe server marks it openWorldHint: true: it reaches things outside the server's own data.
    Description, as the server wrote it
    Use for "gold edge today" and "oil or bitcoin trade signal". The Kalshi daily gold, silver or WTI strike, or hourly bitcoin strike, with the largest PMP model edge, as a ticket: side, entry price, resolve criterion, model probability, edge, tier and quarter-Kelly size. Pass tickers[] to check a watchlist. Pro — sign in with PredictionMarketsPicks, or a Pro API key.

    Annotations the server declares

    • readOnlyHint: true
    • destructiveHint: false
    • openWorldHint: true
    • title: Commodity Edge (Gold / Silver / Oil / Bitcoin)
  • convert_probabilityConvert between implied probability, American odds, and decimal odds.1 finding

    Why it is in this group

    • The name "convert_probability" says "convert": a word for a change.
    • The server marks it read-only (readOnlyHint: true), but an annotation never lowers a class.

    Findings

    • Warn

      The server marks "convert_probability" read-only (readOnlyHint: true), and its own name, description or input give the class "write".

      Matched text

      annotations: {"readOnlyHint":true,"destructiveHint":false,"openWorldHint":false}; The name "convert_probability" says "convert": a word for a change.

      What this check looks for
    Description, as the server wrote it
    Convert between implied probability, American odds, and decimal odds. Give one value and its format and get all three back (American odds carry no commas, e.g. +441 or -200). Use for "what is +150 as a probability", "convert 62% to American odds", "decimal to implied odds".

    Annotations the server declares

    • readOnlyHint: true
    • destructiveHint: false
    • openWorldHint: false
    • title: Convert Probability / Odds
  • draft_boardIn season: this week's QB/RB/WR/TE rankings by the median Kalshi prices each player at (pass/rush/rec yds), plus anytime-TD price.No findings

    Why it is in this group

    • Nothing in its name or description says what it does, so it is counted as a write.
    • The server marks it read-only (readOnlyHint: true), but an annotation never lowers a class.
    Description, as the server wrote it
    In season: this week's QB/RB/WR/TE rankings by the median Kalshi prices each player at (pass/rush/rec yds), plus anytime-TD price. Free. (Draft board returns in 2027.)

    Annotations the server declares

    • readOnlyHint: true
    • destructiveHint: false
    • openWorldHint: false
    • title: This Week's Rankings by the Market
  • edge_alertsUse for "any edge on Kalshi" and "weather trade signals".Reads text others writeNo findings

    Why it is in this group

    • Nothing in its name or description says what it does, so it is counted as a write.
    • The server marks it read-only (readOnlyHint: true), but an annotation never lowers a class.

    What it can reach

    • untrusted-inputThe server marks it openWorldHint: true: it reaches things outside the server's own data.
    Description, as the server wrote it
    Use for "any edge on Kalshi" and "weather trade signals". Our model alerts on Kalshi — weather, bitcoin/silver/gold/oil, mispricings — with feed, tier, side, price, model probability, edge and link. Real time with Pro; free is delayed 24h without the thesis. One identical, impersonal feed for every subscriber; filters only select. Informational, not investment advice.

    Annotations the server declares

    • readOnlyHint: true
    • destructiveHint: false
    • openWorldHint: true
    • title: Edge Alerts (weather / commodity / mispricing)
  • fed_rate_oddsUse for "will the Fed cut, hold or hike" and "next FOMC meeting odds".No findings

    Why it is in this group

    • Nothing in its name or description says what it does, so it is counted as a write.
    • The server marks it read-only (readOnlyHint: true), but an annotation never lowers a class.
    Description, as the server wrote it
    Use for "will the Fed cut, hold or hike" and "next FOMC meeting odds". Live Kalshi odds for each remaining 2026 FOMC meeting: the next meeting's full strike breakdown and days-until, the rate path, the current fed funds rate, and a next-meeting cross-venue check against Polymarket and CME futures, with the gap in pp.

    Annotations the server declares

    • readOnlyHint: true
    • destructiveHint: false
    • openWorldHint: false
    • title: Fed Rate Odds (FOMC)
  • fifteen_min_boardUse for "what is the ETH 15-minute market doing" and "which Kalshi 15-minute markets are open".Reads text others writeNo findings

    Why it is in this group

    • Nothing in its name or description says what it does, so it is counted as a write.
    • The server marks it read-only (readOnlyHint: true), but an annotation never lowers a class.

    What it can reach

    • untrusted-inputThe server marks it openWorldHint: true: it reaches things outside the server's own data.
    Description, as the server wrote it
    Use for "what is the ETH 15-minute market doing" and "which Kalshi 15-minute markets are open". Every Kalshi 15-minute up-or-down series — crypto, metals, energy, FX — with window status, YES price, close time, target price, what it settles on and the up rate over the last 96 windows, plus the same window on Polymarket (international) for BTC, ETH, SOL and XRP with each venue's settlement index and a graded record of the two venues on the same Bitcoin windows, and our Bitcoin top-of-hour strategy (v2 — the version our bot trades live, with its live and paper record). Pass series ("eth", "KXBTC15M") or asset_class.

    Annotations the server declares

    • readOnlyHint: true
    • destructiveHint: false
    • openWorldHint: true
    • title: Kalshi 15-Minute Markets — every series, live
  • kelly_sizeCompute the optimal Kelly position size for a prediction-market contract.No findings

    Why it is in this group

    • Nothing in its name or description says what it does, so it is counted as a write.
    • The server marks it read-only (readOnlyHint: true), but an annotation never lowers a class.
    Description, as the server wrote it
    Compute the optimal Kelly position size for a prediction-market contract. Given your win probability, the market price (which sets the payout), your bankroll, and a Kelly fraction (full / half / quarter / eighth), returns the dollar stake and a risk rating. Use for "how much should I stake", "what is my position size", "Kelly sizing for this trade".

    Annotations the server declares

    • readOnlyHint: true
    • destructiveHint: false
    • openWorldHint: false
    • title: Kelly Position Size
  • ladder_arbUse for "is any CFB ladder mispriced" and "where can I make a market on Kalshi".Reads text others writeNo findings

    Why it is in this group

    • Nothing in its name or description says what it does, so it is counted as a write.
    • The server marks it read-only (readOnlyHint: true), but an annotation never lowers a class.

    What it can reach

    • untrusted-inputThe server marks it openWorldHint: true: it reaches things outside the server's own data.
    Description, as the server wrote it
    Use for "is any CFB ladder mispriced" and "where can I make a market on Kalshi". Kalshi college football and NFL spread/total strikes priced out of order: locked arbitrage, crossed-mid inversions and wide books worth making a market in, with both tickers and books, gross edge, volume and tier. Pro adds the resting orders, net-of-fee edge and quarter-Kelly size.

    Annotations the server declares

    • readOnlyHint: true
    • destructiveHint: false
    • openWorldHint: true
    • title: Ladder Arb Scanner — Kalshi CFB + NFL spread/total ladders priced out of order
  • market_pulseThe US macro-health composite (0–100) and regime plus the six category scores (growth, labor, inflation, rates, liquidity, sentiment).Reads text others writeNo findings

    Why it is in this group

    • Nothing in its name or description says what it does, so it is counted as a write.
    • The server marks it read-only (readOnlyHint: true), but an annotation never lowers a class.

    What it can reach

    • untrusted-inputThe server marks it openWorldHint: true: it reaches things outside the server's own data.
    Description, as the server wrote it
    The US macro-health composite (0–100) and regime plus the six category scores (growth, labor, inflation, rates, liquidity, sentiment). Returns the composite, the regime call and 2 category scores without an account, 4 to a signed-in account, and all six with Pro. Use for "how is the US economy", "macro regime", "risk-on or risk-off".

    Annotations the server declares

    • readOnlyHint: true
    • destructiveHint: false
    • openWorldHint: true
    • title: Market Pulse — Macro
  • my_leagueUse for "show my fantasy team" and "what is Kalshi pricing my starters at".Reads text others writeNo findings

    Why it is in this group

    • Nothing in its name or description says what it does, so it is counted as a write.
    • The server marks it read-only (readOnlyHint: true), but an annotation never lowers a class.

    What it can reach

    • untrusted-inputThe server marks it openWorldHint: true: it reaches things outside the server's own data.
    Description, as the server wrote it
    Use for "show my fantasy team" and "what is Kalshi pricing my starters at". Give a Sleeper username (and a league name if you have several): your roster, each starter's opponent and kickoff, OUT and QB-gate flags, and every Kalshi prop strike on him this week with the best price per side. Market data; Pro adds our weekly projection.

    Annotations the server declares

    • readOnlyHint: true
    • destructiveHint: false
    • openWorldHint: true
    • title: My Sleeper League — your starters beside their Kalshi markets
  • nba_game_boardUse for "Knicks moneyline on Kalshi vs the books" and "cheapest place for the Celtics spread tonight".Reads text others writeNo findings

    Why it is in this group

    • Nothing in its name or description says what it does, so it is counted as a write.
    • The server marks it read-only (readOnlyHint: true), but an annotation never lowers a class.

    What it can reach

    • untrusted-inputThe server marks it openWorldHint: true: it reaches things outside the server's own data.
    Description, as the server wrote it
    Use for "Knicks moneyline on Kalshi vs the books" and "cheapest place for the Celtics spread tonight". Kalshi NBA moneyline, spread and total beside DraftKings, FanDuel, BetRivers, Fanatics, ESPN, Novig and ProphetX at the same line: the cheapest venue per side, Kalshi fee included. Market prices only, no model.

    Annotations the server declares

    • readOnlyHint: true
    • destructiveHint: false
    • openWorldHint: true
    • title: NBA Game Line Board (Kalshi vs the books)
  • nba_injury_impactUse for "Embiid's out tonight — who benefits?" and "who's out in the NBA today".Reads text others writeNo findings

    Why it is in this group

    • Nothing in its name or description says what it does, so it is counted as a write.
    • The server marks it read-only (readOnlyHint: true), but an annotation never lowers a class.

    What it can reach

    • untrusted-inputThe server marks it openWorldHint: true: it reaches things outside the server's own data.
    Description, as the server wrote it
    Use for "Embiid's out tonight — who benefits?" and "who's out in the NBA today". Today's NBA absences from the official injury report, and for each absent star the teammates whose minutes, points, rebounds, assists and usage rose in past games without him (last two seasons, sample size on every row), beside today's Kalshi prop prices. Questionable players fork into plays/sits branches until ruled. Historical splits only, no projection.

    Annotations the server declares

    • readOnlyHint: true
    • destructiveHint: false
    • openWorldHint: true
    • title: NBA Injury Report + Who Benefits (with/without splits)
  • nba_prop_boardUse for "where is LeBron's points line cheapest tonight".Reads text others writeNo findings

    Why it is in this group

    • Nothing in its name or description says what it does, so it is counted as a write.
    • The server marks it read-only (readOnlyHint: true), but an annotation never lowers a class.

    What it can reach

    • untrusted-inputThe server marks it openWorldHint: true: it reaches things outside the server's own data.
    Description, as the server wrote it
    Use for "where is LeBron's points line cheapest tonight". Every Kalshi NBA player-prop strike (points, rebounds, assists, threes) beside DraftKings, FanDuel, BetRivers, Fanatics, ESPN, Novig and ProphetX at the same strike: the cheapest venue per side, Kalshi fee included. Market prices only, no model.

    Annotations the server declares

    • readOnlyHint: true
    • destructiveHint: false
    • openWorldHint: true
    • title: NBA Prop Price Board (Kalshi vs the books)
  • nfl_edgeUse for "which NFL games are mispriced on Kalshi" and "NFL win total, MVP or Super Bowl edges".Reads text others writeNo findings

    Why it is in this group

    • Nothing in its name or description says what it does, so it is counted as a write.
    • The server marks it read-only (readOnlyHint: true), but an annotation never lowers a class.

    What it can reach

    • untrusted-inputThe server marks it openWorldHint: true: it reaches things outside the server's own data.
    Description, as the server wrote it
    Use for "which NFL games are mispriced on Kalshi" and "NFL win total, MVP or Super Bowl edges". Our NFL model vs live Kalshi prices — this week's game positions, season win totals, MVP and championship odds: model probability, price, edge and side. tickers[] checks a watchlist (futures, mvp, championship). Pro — sign in with PredictionMarketsPicks, or a Pro API key.

    Annotations the server declares

    • readOnlyHint: true
    • destructiveHint: false
    • openWorldHint: true
    • title: NFL Edge (model vs Kalshi)
  • nfl_ladderUse for "where does the model disagree with Kalshi on the Rams spread" and "biggest ladder gaps this week".Reads text others writeNo findings

    Why it is in this group

    • Nothing in its name or description says what it does, so it is counted as a write.
    • The server marks it read-only (readOnlyHint: true), but an annotation never lowers a class.

    What it can reach

    • untrusted-inputThe server marks it openWorldHint: true: it reaches things outside the server's own data.
    Description, as the server wrote it
    Use for "where does the model disagree with Kalshi on the Rams spread" and "biggest ladder gaps this week". Every NFL strike ladder — spreads, season win totals, player props — with Kalshi's price at each strike beside our distribution and a SHAPE / LOCATION / PRICED / PARTIAL verdict. Our number is published only between 30% and 70%.

    Annotations the server declares

    • readOnlyHint: true
    • destructiveHint: false
    • openWorldHint: true
    • title: The Ladder — NFL strike ladders: every Kalshi strike vs the PMP distribution
  • nfl_power_ratingsThe PredictionMarketsPicks NFL power ratings — PWR for all 32 teams: points per game above an average team on a neutral field, where PWR = Off PR + Def PR + ST PR.No findings

    Why it is in this group

    • Nothing in its name or description says what it does, so it is counted as a write.
    • The server marks it read-only (readOnlyHint: true), but an annotation never lowers a class.
    Description, as the server wrote it
    The PredictionMarketsPicks NFL power ratings — PWR for all 32 teams: points per game above an average team on a neutral field, where PWR = Off PR + Def PR + ST PR. Includes each team's rank and tier. Use for "best NFL teams by power rating", "NFL power rankings 2026", "is Baltimore overrated", "how good is Kansas City", "NFL team ratings".

    Annotations the server declares

    • readOnlyHint: true
    • destructiveHint: false
    • openWorldHint: false
    • title: NFL Power Ratings (PWR)
  • nfl_prop_boardUse for "where is the best price on <player> receiving yards" and "is Kalshi cheaper than the books".Reads text others writeNo findings

    Why it is in this group

    • Nothing in its name or description says what it does, so it is counted as a write.
    • The server marks it read-only (readOnlyHint: true), but an annotation never lowers a class.

    What it can reach

    • untrusted-inputThe server marks it openWorldHint: true: it reaches things outside the server's own data.
    Description, as the server wrote it
    Use for "where is the best price on <player> receiving yards" and "is Kalshi cheaper than the books". Best price on every NFL prop this week: Kalshi (fee included) vs five books (DraftKings, FanDuel, BetRivers, Fanatics, ESPN) and the Novig and ProphetX exchanges — the best price per side, how much cheaper Kalshi is than the books, the consensus gap, and the Kalshi close once a strike settles. Filter by team, game, player or stat.

    Annotations the server declares

    • readOnlyHint: true
    • destructiveHint: false
    • openWorldHint: true
    • title: NFL Prop Market Board (Kalshi vs the books vs exchanges)
  • nfl_prop_edgeUse for "best NFL props today" and "receiving yards prop value".Reads text others writeNo findings

    Why it is in this group

    • Nothing in its name or description says what it does, so it is counted as a write.
    • The server marks it read-only (readOnlyHint: true), but an annotation never lowers a class.

    What it can reach

    • untrusted-inputThe server marks it openWorldHint: true: it reaches things outside the server's own data.
    Description, as the server wrote it
    Use for "best NFL props today" and "receiving yards prop value". Our projection vs the Kalshi "X or more" prop line: the contract, the YES/NO call, our odds and Kalshi's price for that side, the projection and the edge, with WATCH rows labelled. Live in season. Pro — sign in with PredictionMarketsPicks, or a Pro API key.

    Annotations the server declares

    • readOnlyHint: true
    • destructiveHint: false
    • openWorldHint: true
    • title: NFL Player Prop Edge (model vs Kalshi)
  • nfl_win_probabilityUse for "who wins Chiefs vs 49ers" and "what does a -7 spread mean".No findings

    Why it is in this group

    • Nothing in its name or description says what it does, so it is counted as a write.
    • The server marks it read-only (readOnlyHint: true), but an annotation never lowers a class.
    Description, as the server wrote it
    Use for "who wins Chiefs vs 49ers" and "what does a -7 spread mean". Pass homeTeam + awayTeam (or game, or one team) for our QB-gated model line (raw power ratings if unscheduled), or a spread (home favored negative). Returns win, cover and over/under probability, the projected score and our own total; neutral-site games get no home edge.

    Annotations the server declares

    • readOnlyHint: true
    • destructiveHint: false
    • openWorldHint: false
    • title: NFL Win Probability Calculator
  • nhl_edgeUse for "NHL predictions tonight" and "Stanley Cup odds".Reads text others writeNo findings

    Why it is in this group

    • Nothing in its name or description says what it does, so it is counted as a write.
    • The server marks it read-only (readOnlyHint: true), but an annotation never lowers a class.

    What it can reach

    • untrusted-inputThe server marks it openWorldHint: true: it reaches things outside the server's own data.
    Description, as the server wrote it
    Use for "NHL predictions tonight" and "Stanley Cup odds". Tonight's NHL games on Kalshi — moneyline, puck line, totals, period markets — as Market · Model · Fair, starting goalies checked first. market=goals: anytime and first-goal contracts; market=futures: Cup, conference and division markets on Kalshi and Polymarket (international book) vs a 10,000-season sim. Free.

    Annotations the server declares

    • readOnlyHint: true
    • destructiveHint: false
    • openWorldHint: true
    • title: NHL Edge — Goal Light model vs Kalshi
  • perp_liquidationUse for "where does a 5x bitcoin long liquidate on Kalshi".Reads text others writeNo findings

    Why it is in this group

    • Nothing in its name or description says what it does, so it is counted as a write.
    • The server marks it read-only (readOnlyHint: true), but an annotation never lowers a class.

    What it can reach

    • untrusted-inputThe server marks it openWorldHint: true: it reaches things outside the server's own data.
    Description, as the server wrote it
    Use for "where does a 5x bitcoin long liquidate on Kalshi". Estimates a Kalshi perp's liquidation price and the % move to it from Kalshi's risk parameters (a 5x BTC long is about 8% away, not the 20% the 100÷leverage rule implies), plus fees and expected funding. An estimate; Kalshi's app shows the exact one. Assets: btc, eth, sol, xrp, doge, hype, link, gold, silver, platinum, palladium. Free.

    Annotations the server declares

    • readOnlyHint: true
    • destructiveHint: false
    • openWorldHint: true
    • title: Kalshi Perp Liquidation — where a leveraged position gets closed out
  • perps_boardUse for "Kalshi perps funding rate" and "how much leverage on Kalshi gold perps".Reads text others writeNo findings

    Why it is in this group

    • Nothing in its name or description says what it does, so it is counted as a write.
    • The server marks it read-only (readOnlyHint: true), but an annotation never lowers a class.

    What it can reach

    • untrusted-inputThe server marks it openWorldHint: true: it reaches things outside the server's own data.
    Description, as the server wrote it
    Use for "Kalshi perps funding rate" and "how much leverage on Kalshi gold perps". Every Kalshi perpetual future: price, 24h volume, open interest, max leverage long and short, funding cadence, and what funding has cost a long since launch. Pass asset ("btc", "gold") for one.

    Annotations the server declares

    • readOnlyHint: true
    • destructiveHint: false
    • openWorldHint: true
    • title: Kalshi Perps Board — price, leverage and funding for every perp
  • player_outlookOne NFL player this week — every Kalshi prop line, the best price across venues, and our probability at each strike.No findings

    Why it is in this group

    • Nothing in its name or description says what it does, so it is counted as a write.
    • The server marks it read-only (readOnlyHint: true), but an annotation never lowers a class.
    Description, as the server wrote it
    One NFL player this week — every Kalshi prop line, the best price across venues, and our probability at each strike. Free. Use for "is <player> a good play this week", "<player> props".

    Annotations the server declares

    • readOnlyHint: true
    • destructiveHint: false
    • openWorldHint: false
    • title: Player This Week — Kalshi prop lines
  • race_oddsUse for "who wins the Kansas Senate race" and "Michigan governor odds".Reads text others writeNo findings

    Why it is in this group

    • Nothing in its name or description says what it does, so it is counted as a write.
    • The server marks it read-only (readOnlyHint: true), but an annotation never lowers a class.

    What it can reach

    • untrusted-inputThe server marks it openWorldHint: true: it reaches things outside the server's own data.
    Description, as the server wrote it
    Use for "who wins the Kansas Senate race" and "Michigan governor odds". Live Kalshi odds for one 2026 Senate, governor or competitive House race, by state, code, slug or district ("TX-34"): every leg's price, volume and link, the seat holder and rating, forecaster bands, and the race page. Prices are never estimated.

    Annotations the server declares

    • readOnlyHint: true
    • destructiveHint: false
    • openWorldHint: true
    • title: 2026 Race Odds — one Senate, governor or House race with every Kalshi leg
  • scan_mispricingsScan Polymarket contracts for mispricings against the PMP model (a probability swarm).Reads text others writeNo findings

    Why it is in this group

    • Nothing in its name or description says what it does, so it is counted as a write.
    • The server marks it read-only (readOnlyHint: true), but an annotation never lowers a class.

    What it can reach

    • untrusted-inputThe server marks it openWorldHint: true: it reaches things outside the server's own data.
    Description, as the server wrote it
    Scan Polymarket contracts for mispricings against the PMP model (a probability swarm). Returns each market where the model disagrees with the price, the direction to take, the edge in percentage points, and quarter-Kelly sizing, sorted by absolute edge. The scanner is being rebuilt for the 2026 midterms and usually returns no rows today; the response says when it last ran. Pro — sign in with PredictionMarketsPicks, or a Pro API key. Use for "where is the edge today", "mispriced markets", "what should I trade".

    Annotations the server declares

    • readOnlyHint: true
    • destructiveHint: false
    • openWorldHint: true
    • title: Scan Mispricings
  • senate_mapUse for "2026 Senate map" and "which Senate seats are toss-ups".Reads text others writeNo findings

    Why it is in this group

    • Nothing in its name or description says what it does, so it is counted as a write.
    • The server marks it read-only (readOnlyHint: true), but an annotation never lowers a class.

    What it can reach

    • untrusted-inputThe server marks it openWorldHint: true: it reaches things outside the server's own data.
    Description, as the server wrote it
    Use for "2026 Senate map" and "which Senate seats are toss-ups". Every 2026 Senate seat: holder and role, structure rating, forecaster bands where tracked, and the live Kalshi price (Democrat win probability where provable), closest race first, with a page URL per seat. Prices are never estimated — an unpriced seat returns null.

    Annotations the server declares

    • readOnlyHint: true
    • destructiveHint: false
    • openWorldHint: true
    • title: 2026 Senate Map — every seat, market price vs structure rating vs forecasters
  • sleepers_and_bustsEvery NFL player whose Kalshi prop price the PredictionMarketsPicks model disagrees with this week, ranked, each marked underpriced (model above the market) or overpriced (model be…No findings

    Why it is in this group

    • Nothing in its name or description says what it does, so it is counted as a write.
    • The server marks it read-only (readOnlyHint: true), but an annotation never lowers a class.
    Description, as the server wrote it
    Every NFL player whose Kalshi prop price the PredictionMarketsPicks model disagrees with this week, ranked, each marked underpriced (model above the market) or overpriced (model below) with the stat driving it. Free, the complete list, no key. Which strike, at what price and by how much is the Pro nfl_prop_edge tool. Use for "undervalued players this week", "who is the market overpricing", "which players is the market wrong on", "overrated players week N", "where does your model disagree with the market most", "sleepers this week", "busts to avoid this week".

    Annotations the server declares

    • readOnlyHint: true
    • destructiveHint: false
    • openWorldHint: false
    • title: Overpriced & Underpriced This Week
  • start_sitUse for "should I start Nacua or Adams" and "who does the market like more this week".Reads text others write1 finding

    Why it is in this group

    • The name "start_sit" says "start": a word for a change.
    • The server marks it read-only (readOnlyHint: true), but an annotation never lowers a class.

    What it can reach

    • untrusted-inputThe server marks it openWorldHint: true: it reaches things outside the server's own data.

    Findings

    • Warn

      The server marks "start_sit" read-only (readOnlyHint: true), and its own name, description or input give the class "write".

      Matched text

      annotations: {"readOnlyHint":true,"destructiveHint":false,"openWorldHint":true}; The name "start_sit" says "start": a word for a change.

      What this check looks for
    Description, as the server wrote it
    Use for "should I start Nacua or Adams" and "who does the market like more this week". For 2–4 players: the median Kalshi is pricing for each stat (read off his own strike ladder) and his anytime-TD price, compared on the stats they share. Market prices only — the call stays yours; Pro adds our weekly projection.

    Annotations the server declares

    • readOnlyHint: true
    • destructiveHint: false
    • openWorldHint: true
    • title: Start/Sit by the Market — what Kalshi prices each player at
  • track_recordUse for "how accurate is your model" and "what's your track record".Reads text others writeNo findings

    Why it is in this group

    • Nothing in its name or description says what it does, so it is counted as a write.
    • The server marks it read-only (readOnlyHint: true), but an annotation never lowers a class.

    What it can reach

    • untrusted-inputThe server marks it openWorldHint: true: it reaches things outside the server's own data.
    Description, as the server wrote it
    Use for "how accurate is your model" and "what's your track record". Every graded PredictionMarketsPicks signal per engine (bitcoin, gold, silver, oil, weather, NHL) and the daily editorial call (POTD): W-L, net P/L, a 95% win-rate range and the current model era, and the NFL model's backtest. WATCH calls are reported apart.

    Annotations the server declares

    • readOnlyHint: true
    • destructiveHint: false
    • openWorldHint: true
    • title: Track Record — our graded signals, winners and losers
  • waiver_targetsUse for "who is everyone adding off waivers" and "trending waiver adds this week".Reads text others writeNo findings

    Why it is in this group

    • Nothing in its name or description says what it does, so it is counted as a write.
    • The server marks it read-only (readOnlyHint: true), but an annotation never lowers a class.

    What it can reach

    • untrusted-inputThe server marks it openWorldHint: true: it reaches things outside the server's own data.
    Description, as the server wrote it
    Use for "who is everyone adding off waivers" and "trending waiver adds this week". Sleeper's most-added players in the last 24 hours with what Kalshi is pricing each at this week; pass position, and a Sleeper username + league to see only players still available. Market data only.

    Annotations the server declares

    • readOnlyHint: true
    • destructiveHint: false
    • openWorldHint: true
    • title: Waiver Targets — Sleeper trending adds with their Kalshi markets
  • weather_boardUse for "Kalshi NYC high temperature odds".Reads text others writeNo findings

    Why it is in this group

    • Nothing in its name or description says what it does, so it is counted as a write.
    • The server marks it read-only (readOnlyHint: true), but an annotation never lowers a class.

    What it can reach

    • untrusted-inputThe server marks it openWorldHint: true: it reaches things outside the server's own data.
    Description, as the server wrote it
    Use for "Kalshi NYC high temperature odds". Every open Kalshi daily-high strike in 13 cities: YES price, settlement station and source, the strict-comparison rule, close time, and the NWS forecast high beside it. Pass city ("nyc", "KXHIGHCHI"). Market data only.

    Annotations the server declares

    • readOnlyHint: true
    • destructiveHint: false
    • openWorldHint: true
    • title: Kalshi Weather Board — daily-high strikes vs the NWS forecast
  • who_do_i_draftIn season: the Kalshi props listed on the players you name (2–4), with the best price per strike.No findings

    Why it is in this group

    • Nothing in its name or description says what it does, so it is counted as a write.
    • The server marks it read-only (readOnlyHint: true), but an annotation never lowers a class.
    Description, as the server wrote it
    In season: the Kalshi props listed on the players you name (2–4), with the best price per strike. Free. Pass roster: ['Player A', 'Player B'].

    Annotations the server declares

    • readOnlyHint: true
    • destructiveHint: false
    • openWorldHint: false
    • title: Your Roster's Props This Week
Only reads 6Claude Code: allow
  • compare_playersCompare 2–4 NFL players this week: every Kalshi prop strike each has, the best price per side across venues, our probability where we publish one, and a ranked verdict on whose pri…No findings

    Why it is in this group

    • The name "compare_players" says "compare": a word for reading.
    Description, as the server wrote it
    Compare 2–4 NFL players this week: every Kalshi prop strike each has, the best price per side across venues, our probability where we publish one, and a ranked verdict on whose price the model disagrees with most, and on which strike. Use for "<A> or <B> this week", "compare <A> and <B> props", "who has the better prop, <A> or <B>", "<A> vs <B> receiving yards".

    Annotations the server declares

    • readOnlyHint: true
    • destructiveHint: false
    • openWorldHint: false
    • title: Compare Players This Week — Kalshi prop lines
  • explain_gameWhy the PredictionMarketsPicks model prices one NFL game where it does: the Kalshi price and market line, our published win probability and what it is anchored to, the model's own …No findings

    Why it is in this group

    • The name "explain_game" says "explain": a word for reading.
    Description, as the server wrote it
    Why the PredictionMarketsPicks model prices one NFL game where it does: the Kalshi price and market line, our published win probability and what it is anchored to, the model's own line as a lean in points, each team's power rating split into offense, defense and special teams, the QB gate (PASS, ADJUSTED, FORK with both lines, or HOLD), and the published position (side, Kalshi price, edge) or why none is published. Use for "why do you price <team> vs <team> there", "explain the <team> game line", "what is driving the model on <team>'s game". Pass game as two teams in any form ("Bills vs Chiefs", "BUF@KC") or one team for its game; week defaults to the current week.

    Annotations the server declares

    • readOnlyHint: true
    • destructiveHint: false
    • openWorldHint: false
    • title: Explain This Game — why we price an NFL game there
  • explain_ladderWhy PredictionMarketsPicks' Ladder reads one NFL strike ladder the way it does — a game's spread, a team's season win total, or a player's prop: the read (SHAPE, LOCATION, PRICED, …No findings

    Why it is in this group

    • The name "explain_ladder" says "explain": a word for reading.
    Description, as the server wrote it
    Why PredictionMarketsPicks' Ladder reads one NFL strike ladder the way it does — a game's spread, a team's season win total, or a player's prop: the read (SHAPE, LOCATION, PRICED, MARKET READ or QB HOLD) in words — which way our curve leans, or whether it is tighter or wider than Kalshi's and where they cross — where Kalshi's ladder centres beside our projection, the widest published gap, and every listed strike with Kalshi's price and our number where we publish one (30–70% only). One ladder per call. Use for "explain the Chiefs win total ladder", "why does the ladder lean Browns", "what does SHAPE mean on <player> receptions".

    Annotations the server declares

    • readOnlyHint: true
    • destructiveHint: false
    • openWorldHint: false
    • title: Explain This Ladder — why The Ladder reads one NFL market the way it does
  • explain_playerWhy the PredictionMarketsPicks model prices an NFL player's Kalshi prop strikes where it does this week: the projection, The Ladder's verdict (SHAPE, LOCATION, PRICED or market-onl…No findings

    Why it is in this group

    • The name "explain_player" says "explain": a word for reading.
    Description, as the server wrote it
    Why the PredictionMarketsPicks model prices an NFL player's Kalshi prop strikes where it does this week: the projection, The Ladder's verdict (SHAPE, LOCATION, PRICED or market-only), the widest published model-vs-market gap, and what the model does NOT account for. Our number appears only where it is measured calibrated (30–70%). Use for "why do you price <player> there", "explain <player>'s prop", "what's driving the model on <player>", "why is <player>'s over priced at that".

    Annotations the server declares

    • readOnlyHint: true
    • destructiveHint: false
    • openWorldHint: false
    • title: Explain This Price — why we price a player’s strikes there
  • explain_propWhy PredictionMarketsPicks publishes a call on one NFL player prop this week: the Kalshi contract, the YES/NO call and Kalshi's price for that side, our tier and — where our probab…No findings

    Why it is in this group

    • The name "explain_prop" says "explain": a word for reading.
    Description, as the server wrote it
    Why PredictionMarketsPicks publishes a call on one NFL player prop this week: the Kalshi contract, the YES/NO call and Kalshi's price for that side, our tier and — where our probability is measured calibrated — our odds, our projection against the threshold, whether it is published or held at WATCH (and why), The Ladder's read on that stat, and what the model does not account for. One contract per call. Use for "why do you like <player>'s over", "explain the <player> prop", "why is <player> on your board". For the full strike ladder use explain_player.

    Annotations the server declares

    • readOnlyHint: true
    • destructiveHint: false
    • openWorldHint: false
    • title: Explain This Prop — why a player prop is a call
  • find_arbitrageUse for "where is the arbitrage" and "Kalshi vs Polymarket price gaps".Reads text others writeNo findings

    Why it is in this group

    • The name "find_arbitrage" says "find": a word for reading.

    What it can reach

    • untrusted-inputThe server marks it openWorldHint: true: it reaches things outside the server's own data.
    Description, as the server wrote it
    Use for "where is the arbitrage" and "Kalshi vs Polymarket price gaps". Cross-venue gaps on the same sports contract (NFL, NBA, NHL, MLB) against Polymarket's international book: the gap in pp, the WATCH/ARB signal, the cheaper venue and whether both contracts settle the same way (settlement_match). Free: the top 3 gaps in full; Pro returns the whole board.

    Annotations the server declares

    • readOnlyHint: true
    • destructiveHint: false
    • openWorldHint: true
    • title: Find Sports Arbitrage Gaps

This is not a safety rating, and no finding is not a safety guarantee. The groups and findings come from fixed checks of the tool definitions the server returned on the date shown, not from its code or what it does when called. How the checks work.

Exfil surface

Which tools read private data, which read text someone else can write, and which can send data out. One of each is a path a prompt injection can use.

No private-data, untrusted-input, outbound path in this server alone: no tool is tagged private-data or outbound.

Reads private data0
Reads files, mail, messages, databases, secrets, calendars or repositories.
Reads text others write25
Brings in text someone else can write: web pages, inbound email, messages, issues and comments.
Can send data out0
Can carry data to people or systems: it sends, posts or publishes, or takes a recipient, channel or URL.

Other servers in the same agent add their own tools to these paths. Audit your whole setup to see them together.

Tool changes

Every rescan that found different tool definitions, newest first.

  1. Oct 22, 2026

    3c4bba72444c

    +1 added~1 changed

Install

Pinned to version 1.28.0. Values in angle brackets are yours to fill in.

claude mcp add --transport http quant https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp/mcp?via=registry

Run in a terminal.

Claude Code permissions

Allow the reads, ask before a change or a way out, deny the deletes. Paste into .claude/settings.json.

.claude/settings.json
{
  "permissions": {
    "allow": [
      "mcp__quant__find_arbitrage",
      "mcp__quant__explain_player",
      "mcp__quant__explain_game",
      "mcp__quant__explain_prop",
      "mcp__quant__explain_ladder",
      "mcp__quant__compare_players"
    ],
    "ask": [
      "mcp__quant__fed_rate_odds",
      "mcp__quant__calculate_ev",
      "mcp__quant__kelly_size",
      "mcp__quant__bayes_update",
      "mcp__quant__convert_probability",
      "mcp__quant__base_rate_gap",
      "mcp__quant__combo_edge",
      "mcp__quant__nfl_power_ratings",
      "mcp__quant__nfl_win_probability",
      "mcp__quant__market_pulse",
      "mcp__quant__commodity_edge",
      "mcp__quant__scan_mispricings",
      "mcp__quant__edge_alerts",
      "mcp__quant__nfl_edge",
      "mcp__quant__nfl_prop_edge",
      "mcp__quant__nhl_edge",
      "mcp__quant__nfl_prop_board",
      "mcp__quant__nba_prop_board",
      "mcp__quant__nba_game_board",
      "mcp__quant__nba_injury_impact",
      "mcp__quant__nfl_ladder",
      "mcp__quant__ladder_arb",
      "mcp__quant__fifteen_min_board",
      "mcp__quant__weather_board",
      "mcp__quant__track_record",
      "mcp__quant__my_league",
      "mcp__quant__start_sit",
      "mcp__quant__waiver_targets",
      "mcp__quant__perps_board",
      "mcp__quant__perp_liquidation",
      "mcp__quant__senate_map",
      "mcp__quant__race_odds",
      "mcp__quant__best_price",
      "mcp__quant__draft_board",
      "mcp__quant__best_available",
      "mcp__quant__player_outlook",
      "mcp__quant__sleepers_and_busts",
      "mcp__quant__who_do_i_draft",
      "mcp__quant__adp_market_gaps"
    ],
    "deny": []
  }
}

Tools that only read are allowed, tools that change things ask first, tools that delete or cancel are denied. A read that can send data out (it takes a URL, say) asks first too. It assumes the server is installed as quant. Review it before you use it.

Capability tags behind 25 rules
  • mcp__quant__find_arbitrage untrusted-input
  • mcp__quant__market_pulse untrusted-input
  • mcp__quant__commodity_edge untrusted-input
  • mcp__quant__scan_mispricings untrusted-input
  • mcp__quant__edge_alerts untrusted-input
  • mcp__quant__nfl_edge untrusted-input
  • mcp__quant__nfl_prop_edge untrusted-input
  • mcp__quant__nhl_edge untrusted-input
  • mcp__quant__nfl_prop_board untrusted-input
  • mcp__quant__nba_prop_board untrusted-input
  • mcp__quant__nba_game_board untrusted-input
  • mcp__quant__nba_injury_impact untrusted-input
  • mcp__quant__nfl_ladder untrusted-input
  • mcp__quant__ladder_arb untrusted-input
  • mcp__quant__fifteen_min_board untrusted-input
  • mcp__quant__weather_board untrusted-input
  • mcp__quant__track_record untrusted-input
  • mcp__quant__my_league untrusted-input
  • mcp__quant__start_sit untrusted-input
  • mcp__quant__waiver_targets untrusted-input
  • mcp__quant__perps_board untrusted-input
  • mcp__quant__perp_liquidation untrusted-input
  • mcp__quant__senate_map untrusted-input
  • mcp__quant__race_odds untrusted-input
  • mcp__quant__best_price untrusted-input